Claudio Cioffi-Revilla
![Politics and Uncertainty: Theory, Models and Applications Claudio Cioffi-Revilla]( "Politics and Uncertainty: Theory, Models and Applications Claudio Cioffi-Revilla")
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By: Cambridge University Press
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Customer Reviews:
Total reviews: 1
Average rating: 5.0 of 5
This is a profound book. 5 out of 5 stars.
7 of 9 people found this review helpful.
Book review by Manus I. Midlarsky, Rutgers University, published in AMERICAN POLITICAL SCIENCE REVIEW 93(2) June 1999. "This is a profound book." "In...its central mission, it succeeds. It is also an ambitious book in seeking to lay the foundations for both micropolitical and macropolitical analysis. The fundamental theoretical structure is built up from first principles. ...Political science illustrations are introduced to provide a clear sense of the relevance to politics. ...Not only the quantitaticve conoscenti will benefit from this book. ...Cioffi-Revilla is able to arrive at deep insights into the workings of politics. Cioffi-Revilla has given us a splendid essay on political uncertainty. ...He has presented as unique way of systematically decomposing political events into their constituent structures and highlighting the nature of their uncertainty in ways that enrich our understanding of politics."
Editorial Review:
Uncertainty is an ever-present and ineradicable aspect of politics, affecting all important issues of governance and policy. Rather than treating the uncertainty of politics as a mystery, this book provides an original and direct treatment of political uncertainty as a scientifically-knowable phenomenon. The author shows how probability and mathematical modeling can play a central role in understanding a range of complex and fundamental issues in both domestic and international politics.
